Judgment Saturday -- 11/18/06

I don't know if anyone has heard, but there is a "big" game today between Michigan and Ohio State. I will not put anyone through anymore waiting by keeping my pick until the end of the post, but instead will lead off with it:

I got to go with Michigan in this game. I just think that these two teams are too similar and I actually think that Michigan has the better team. However, it is at the Horseshoe and that heavily favors Ohio State. I don't think that Ohio State will get anything on the ground (no one does agaisnt Mich) and then we will see who the real Troy Smith is when everything relies on him. Too many 3rd and longs = at least two picks. On the other hand, Mich is very balanced with Hart & Henne. I just can't get the thought out of my head that Ohio State is untested this year (their only big win was at Texas when Colt McCoy was still very green and it showed). This game goes down to the wire and is decided by a field goal.

Michigan +7 (**)

Next, I am going to go with Texas Tech -6 at home against Oklahoma State. Tech should be able to throw all over a bad Ok State secondary and they are coming into this game with some revenge after they lost 24-17 at Ok State last season. Tech is a completely different team at home and they will win this game going away.

Texas Tech -6 (**)

Every week I look at the Hawaii line and try to find reasons that the Warriors won't cover. I couldn't find any this week. They are damn near unstoppable at home and they have a SJS team coming in that lost a heartbreaker to Boise last week. They will still be feeling the effects of the last second loss where they left everything on the field...and now they travel to Hawaii to play the most potent offense in the country. I see Hawaii putting up over 60 points for the fifth straight game and winning this game by at least 35.

Hawaii -24 (**)