Sunday -- 11/19/06

Well, not a bad college day going 2-0-1...any time there are no losses is a good day in my book. Hope to have another good day today in the NFL, and I see some games that will make that possible.

First, I am on Cinn +3.5 at New Orleans. Cinn is in a must win game...they have been reeling a bit with last weeks 42 point second half by the Chargers being the low point. But, here they are getting over a field goal against a team that they are better than. Yes, N.O. has had some good things happen to them this season and they also have caught some lucky breaks, but they are not as good as their record indicates. Look for Cinn to finally listen to Rudi Johnson and give him the damn ball to move the chains and control the game. I think this is a step back for N.O. and a step forward to Cinn. I like the Bengals to win this game, but cover 3.5 for sure.

Cinn +3.5 (**)

Next, I like the Steelers -4 at Cleveland. Pitt, like Cinn, has been a disappointment this season, but I dont get this line at all. Pitt is a far superior team and although they have been losing, it isnt like they have been losing to teams of Cleveland's caliber. In their last 5 games agaisnt each other over the past 2 1/2 years, Pitt has won all 5 by at least 11 points. Not that much has changed...Pitt will win this game going away.

Pitt -4 (**)

Finally, I love the Colts as a PK against Dallas. I don't know if you have heard but Dallas is supposed to be good this season. I keep hearing that, but I am yet to see it. Indy on the other hand IS good...really good. Everyone told me to bet against them when the played at Denver, but I didn't. Then, it was smart money to bet against them at N.E., but I took Indy. Now, I don't know about you, but I think winning at Denver and at N.E. is tougher than winning at Dallas (a seriously flawed team). Manning will have a field day going down field against the suspect cover abilities of the Dallas defensive backs. I look for Indy to win this one by at least a TD.

Indy PK (***)