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10/5/07

Saturday Picks (Let's keep the hot streak going!)

Well, you can't ask for much more than a 5-0 weekday run...which is exactly what we did this week. Here's to hoping we can keep it going through the weekend:

First up, my biggest play of the day is Wyoming -3 at home against TCU. Whoever made this line apparently hasn't watched these two teams play this season. Their roles have reversed with Wyoming becoming the best defense in the conference (and one of the best in the country) and TCU being a mediocre with an absolutely putrid offense. Further, TCU has played 2 road games and lost both (to Texas and Air Force) while Wyoming has played 2 home games and won both by an average of 17 points (including a 23-3 drubbing of Virginia (which looks to be a pretty damn good team now). Now, TCU's starting QB has a deep thigh bruise which only further limits their terrible offense. Wyoming will be jacked for this game as it signifies the end of TCU's run as the dominant team in this conference. Wyoming BIG at home.

Wyoming -3 (****)

Next up, I like Arizona State -9 at Washington State. Ari St. is good...real good and they are just not getting the respect they deserve. There is no way they should only be favored by 9 in this game. They haven't scored less than 33 points in any game this season AND they have the number 6 scoring defense in the country. They are winning their games by an average of 26 points. Wash St. , on the other hand, has lost 2 straight Pac 10 games by 4 TD's including a horrible showing at Arizona last week. Also, just to make certain that Ari St. isn't looking past this game, Wash St.'s coach has been telling the media that Arizona is better than Ari St and that is the reason they will be more competitive this week. Bad move on a coach like Erickson who has no problem running up the score.

Arizona State -9 (***)

Finally, I like Arkansas State -2 at UL Monroe. Ark St is 2-2 (their losses are at Tex and at Tenn) and a solid team that can run and pass very effectively. UL Monroe is terrible...they can't stop the run at all and have gotten drilled in all 4 of their games this season. Also, UL Monroe can only run the ball, but they are going against the best run defense in the Sun Belt. Some things are made too complicated. Ark St is the best team in the Sun Belt and they are playing a team that is shaping up as the doormat. 2 points is nothing in this game. They should win this in a walk.

Arkansas State -2 (***)


SIXTH MAN'S PICKS
As stated earlier in the week, the 6th Man LOVES the following games:
Missouri -6
Kansas State -3
Tex A&M -6

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