Thursday, September 6, 2007

Well, it's opening day of the NFL and there are also 2 NCAA games on the tube tonight. First, let's handle the college slate.

Oregon State -3 (buying 1/2 point)
I like the Beavers to continue playing well and to beat Cinncinnati easily tonight. No gaudy stats necessary in this one. It is as simple as this: Ore St is a different league than the Bearcats right now and being on the road won't change anything. Ore St should win this by 2 touchdowns
OREGON STATE -3 (**)


New Orleans +6
I was all gunho on the Saints tonight as I LOVE their team this year and was prepared to make them a highly ranked play...then, the Sixth Man decided to throw some of his "beloved stats" at me in an attempt to sway my opinion. As he tells it, Indy is 16-2 ATS in their last 18 home games when favored by 7 points or less. I countered back with, "but don't most SuperBowl champs struggle against the spread in the year following their title?" Not so according to the Sixth Man as he informs me that the last 5 SuperBowl champs have won and covered their opening game the following season. Well, you know what...screw those stats. Sometimes you have to go with your gut and I just can't shake the feeling that New Orleans might win this game and definitely stay within 6 points. Not as highly rated as I first thought it would be, but since it is the first game of the NFL (and therefore I have to make a pick), I am going with New Orleans.

NEW ORLEANS +6 (*)


***We have several highly rated plays going on Saturday so check back (hopefully we can even beat our 7-1 Sat-Mon record).