New Years Eve...Part II

For the afternoon NFL games and NCAA bowl pick, I will be giving simple analysis in an effort to get them posted quickly:

I like Indy -9 1/2 at home against the Dolphins. I don't care how bad the Colts run defense is...when you can put 9 guys in the box to stop Ronnie Brown (b/c Mia's QB is some guy named Lemon), you should be able to stop it. The COlts are playing for a playoff bye. I also think that the Colts are out to prove something today and will light up the overmatched Dolphins.

Colts -9 1/2 (**)

For my second pick, I am going with San Francisco +11 at Denver. If Denver wins, they are in...SF has nothing to play for. But...I just don't see the Broncos blowing out the 49ers in this one. Denver will be the team with all the pressure on them and they have had trouble stopping the run at times this year. SF will be playing loose and Gore should have a nice day. Also, don't forget that Cutler is a rookie, playing in what might be a "must" win, ala playoff game, and we don't know how he will react. Maybe he steps up...but maybe not.

49ers +11 (**)


For the Miami v. Nevada bowl game tonight, I like Miami -3 (buying 1/2 point). If Larry Coker was anything, he was a players coach. From all the reports I have heard, the players loved him and want him to go out on top. Also to be noted is the fact that Miami is VASTLY superior in every aspect of the game. They are so much bigger and faster than Nevada, even if they don't try, they should still kill them. I like Miami to dominate the line of scrimmage and not allow Nevada's Pistol offense to get going. Let me ask this one question...if the defense you are going up agaisnt is vastly faster than any defense they have faced all year, would you feel confident starting your running back 10 yards behind the line of scrimmage? Didn't think so.

Miami -3 (***)