Well, the Birdman is releasing another 4* game tonight. Remember that PilotPicks is hitting over 90% of its 4*-5* games this season (including one on Saturday) and we are going to hit this one too.
Take KU -2 at Oklahoma State. The line is currently 2 1/2, but might as well buy the 1/2 point to be safe (if you have the means to do so). This line is absurd. Oklahoma State has played 4 Big 12 home games and they have only won one of them (beat Tex A&M by 2). Two of their home losses came to Nebraska and Colorado. To put this into perspective, KU beat Nebraska by 42 at home and by 21 at Nebraska...and KU beat Colorado by 12 at Colorado. Ok St. has lost 6 of 7 (2-5 ATS) while KU has won 7 straight (6-1 ATS). Clearly KU is the better team and they are playing far better at this moment. Ok St. is a mess and Eddie Sutton was just in a car wreck and is still suffering from injuries as a result. Ok St. Screwed us on Saturday (actually, A&M did), but KU will not be held to 3 points over an 8 minute span to close out the game as A&M was. KU will win, and win big in this one. KU by double digits:
Kansas -2 (****)
***Apparently this line has shot up to 3 1/2 in some places (although I still see it as 2 1/2 as well). KU is a 4* pick up to 4 points.***
2/13/06
BIG MONDAY -- 4* Release
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13 comments:
The KU line is at -3 1/2
i got ku at -2.5 right now.
I got it on betjamaica.com at 2 1/2 about 30 minutes ago and bought it down to 2.
Even so. If that is the case, just buy it down to 3.
KU is a 4* game up to 4 points.
take that dr. moonlight!
LINE HISTORY
Mon, February 13/06 9:00 PM ET Kansas at Oklahoma St.
BoDog Odds (Line) Over/Under (Total)
02/13/06 11:54:38 AM 2.5/-110 (Open)
If we are posting lines to prove that I am not a lying about the fact that it was at 2 1/2, then check out this link from covers.com which shows numerous sportsbooks with various opening lines on the KU game. Note that every one of them hit 2 1/2 at some point (even a couple that opened the line at 4). So, Dr. Moonlight, just because it opened at 3 does not mean it didn't dip to 2 1/2 (which it did on your BoDog line).
http://www.covers.com/sports/common/linehistory.aspx?sport=NCB&eventid=732796
let's make some clams birdman
bought it down to -2.5
Why wouldn't I ML this game?
If you have to buy a point or more than you might consider the money line as buying a half point will make it -130 juice and buying a full point will make it -140 juice. With the money line at -160, it may be worth it risk v. reward to moneyline it. That being said, the money line is risk $160 to win $100 while taking KU minus the points would be $110 to win $100.
It is a decision that you need to make, based upon your gut.
wizards losing with .5 secs left just cost me over a 1000 in a parlay it beign the last game....i am now all in on kansas....let us pray birdman that our pick is right this time after uconn gave us a beating earlier
birdman! the clams are dancing in an ocean of bliss
go KU!
Do we ever lose 4*-5* games?
^^^ NOPE!!!!
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