Take Minnesota -3 against Virginia. Minnesota has the number 2 rushing offense in the all of college football. On the other end of the spectrum, Virginia has the number 10 ranked run defense...in the ACC! Virginia is also losing both their defensive coordinator, their offensive coordinator, and their assistant head coach due to them taking other head coaching jobs. At least one, Prince (taking the K-State job) will not be coaching in the bowl game and even if the others do, they will not likely be putting their full effort into it as their focus will be on recruiting and such for their new team.
Here is a link to a story describing the dissaray that Virginia is in right now.
Minnesota is a good road team, winning 3 of 5 games on the road while averaging 230 yards per game on the ground. Virginia was only 1-4 on the road and gave up 170 yards a game on the road. Minnesota has also consistently been a good bowl team including a victory over favored Alabama last year. This number is too low as Minnesota will have their way with a distracted, and not really that good anyway, Virginia team.
Minnesota is a PilotPicks favorite at -3 (****)
More will come as I hoped to have released more by now, but there has been too many coaches leaving, suspensions, injuries, etc. Many more will be coming soon including the GAME OF THE YEAR. I am holding off as long as I can for this game to ensure that nothing happens in the meantime. Minnesota is one of my strongest releases though...don't hesitate if you want to make sure you get it at -3.
12/13/05
First College Football Bowl Pick
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4 comments:
It should be noted that this is my first release, but Murdoch has already released Texas Tech on an earlier post.
Maybe I should have made it more clear on my analysis but just to clarify Minnesota has the number 2 run offense IN THE COUNTRY while Virginia has the number 10 ranked run defense...IN THE ACC!!!
I NOTICED MINN IS A 4 STAR.. WHAT IS YOUR BIGGEST RATED PLAY?? THANKS... SANDBAGGER
Our highest rating is a 5* game which is only a couple times a year (with exception of our once a year 10* that already is over--Tulsa was a winner).
A 4* will be one of my top 3 rated bowl games of the year. A very strong play. I will have one 5* in the bowls and perhaps another 4* or 5* (if certain things happen).
To sum, there will be only 2-3 games by ME that will be rated 4* or higher...and Minn is one of them. They will roll.
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