I will republish a post I put up earlier this month on our pick for this game. Here it is:
Boston College as a PK
This game was very close to being my Game of the Year as it fit all the categories, but I could not make it the game of the year with it being on the blue turf of Boise. However, I love this game. Boston College boasts the number 8 ranked run defense and in case (like Houston), you thought Boise only threw the ball, you are greatly mistaken. Boise relies heavily on the run as they are in the top 20 in run offense, yet only 80th in passing. Not that impressive. Like KU, BC will be able to control this game with their dominating defense and limit Boise severly on offense. Also, BC is no slouch on offense and considering Boise is 105th in passing defense, I could see BC opening up the passing game early and often in this one. It will be too easy for BC to move the ball down the field in this one and Boise's offense is a lot of hype with not that much substance. Look at the good defenses they have played: Georgia-lost 48-13 and Fresno beat them 27-7. They can't score with their gimmick offense against a physical, fast defense which is exactly what BC is. Boise might start this game hot, riding the energy of the fans, but talent will win out in this one. BC will win this by double digits.
*Also, Boise is being coached by a lame duck head coach and defensive coordinator. The blue turf is being given too much credit in this one as Boise will not be able to move the ball (as running is the only thing they do effectively) against BC's stout run defense and BC will consistently move up and down the field on Boise's smaller defense.
Boston College PK (4*)--I realize it is not a PK anymore, and if you didn't get them right away when we gave it, I still like this game up to 3 points.
(THE MICHIGAN-NEBRASKA GAME WILL BE PUBLISHED LATER TODAY)
*Also, remember that Friday, our other 5* game on MINNESOTA goes. ALL OF OUR GAMES OF AT LEAST 5* HAVE HIT THIS YEAR AND THIS IS NO EXCEPTION...MINNESOTA BY DOUBLE DIGITS!! (Analysis on the "Top 3 Plays--Bowl Games of the Year" post as well as an earlier post in December with full write up--we will republish it on Friday, but you can look in the archives for it now).
12/28/05
Boston College v. Boise State
Posted by
The birdman
at
9:08 AM
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5 comments:
Just so you know, I just laid more money on the BC money line (at -125 on betjamaica.com) b/c I feel that it is better than risking the 2 points for just a little better payout (at -110)...I really don't think we will need it, but it never hurts to be safe.
BC ROLLS TODAY!!!
like the moneyline play birdman...
appreciate your efforts
Good pick guys!! It was another nailbiter, but it's good to finally be on the right side of one of them. Keep it rollin!!
Trev
NEVER IN DOUBT...
If they would have blown that game, I may not have bet another for the rest of the bowl season. What a nightmare blowing a 27-0 lead would have been.
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