Wednesday's Winner

I know a lot of you have been down on the birdman lately. I also know that if you follow the trends you will notice that Murdoch has followed a birdman loser with a winner every time. Interesting stat indeed.

For tonight I am going with Toledo/Northern Illinois OVER 51. Toledo is going to be able to finally run it up on somebody, and that somebody is the NI. It's Gradkowski bobblehead day in Toledo and look for them to put up near 40. NI isn't terrible on O either, breaking 30 in 5 out of the last 7. (The Rockets are over 30 in 5 out of the last 6).

The cold weather and wind might make this closer than it should but look for the fat coach to get a little less conservative with contract extension in hand. Don't forget about Groza finalist kicker Jason Robbins to continue being automatic, made kicks always help an over.